Government Watch / Politics

Climate Change Alarmism Fueling Population Collapse

AMAC Exclusive – By Andrew Abbott


Combatting climate change alarmism might not just be about pushing back on bad science and political opportunism. It might also be a battle for the survival of the human species.

According to an analysis from the Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis released last week, “the era of rapid population growth is coming to an end.” By 2100, the report states, the global population is predicted to peak at 10.5 billion before falling precipitously. Under this projection, almost every developed nation will see a significant population decline.

The U.S. population is expected to level off at around 400 million people, and will by surpassed by Nigeria’s population around 2050, according to the data. India is expected to overtake China as the world’s most populous country this year and peak at around 1.7 billion by 2060.

Europe, meanwhile, is estimated to have already reached its population peak – a consequence of rapidly declining fertility rates in recent decades. Even as life expectancy continues to rise, couples are having fewer children.

Historically, population declines throughout the world have been driven by external factors. Things like war, famine, and disease have been what have stopped societies from growing their numbers.

Throughout the West today, however, none of these factors are present. Even with widely available modern healthcare, no active wars outside of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and relative political and economic stability, people just aren’t having children.

While the reasons behind declining birth rates are unique to each country, one common underlying factor is leftist alarmism about climate change leading to the perverse idea that it is morally wrong to have children.

A Washington Post article from December describes one young woman named Meera Sanghani-Jorgensen feeling “weighed down by the consumption of her children before they were even born.” Jorgensen “couldn’t shake the feeling that, by giving birth, she might be doing something bad for the earth.”

That sentiment has become increasingly common among young people in recent years. In 2021, Morgan Stanley analysts wrote in a letter to investors that “the movement to not have children owing to fears over climate change is growing and impacting fertility rates quicker than any preceding trend in the field of fertility decline.”

A December 2020 ABC News poll found that 23% of adults ages 18-45 are rethinking having children because of climate change. Another poll from 2020 found similar results.

Hollywood celebrities, mainstream media journalists, and even Democrat politicians, meanwhile, have all fueled the anti-baby fire.

Singer Miley Cyrus, for instance, vowed in 2019 not to have a baby on this “piece of s*** planet.” Ex-British royal Prince Harry, a father of two, has said that having any more children is “irresponsible.”

The New York Times, meanwhile, has openly mused on the question of “To Breed or Not to Breed?” The Atlantic has also speculated on “A World Without Children,” while the London Review of Books plainly asked “Is it OK to have a child?” and an NBC News opinion piece declared “Science proves kids are bad for Earth. Morality suggests we stop having them.”

Progressive darling Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) has waded into the debate as well, saying in 2019 that it is a “legitimate question” to ask whether it is “moral” for people to have children amid climate change concerns.

At least as far back as 2009, academics have also been stoking fears about the supposed “climate impacts” of having children. That year, Oregon State University professors Paul Murtaugh and Michael Schlax concluded in the only original piece of academic research to date on the question that having a child in “a developed country like Russia, the United States, or Japan, would result in approximately 60 metric tons per year in CO2 emissions – an amount roughly equivalent to putting 13 gas-powered cars on the road for a year.” According to the two authors, each year a couple goes without having a child amounts to 24 people living car-free.

The study gained renewed interest when it was repackaged into a literature review in 2017, spawning a new wave of anti-child sentiment. In 2022, in large part motivated by the Oregon State study, two teachers founded a movement called “Birth Strike” which counter-intuitively proclaims that having children is a “crime against humanity.”

However, a Washington Post analysis last year found that, more than a decade later, the 2009 Murtaugh and Schlax paper ultimately made two glaring miscalculations.

First, the authors assumed that a mother and father were each responsible for one-half of the emissions of their future child, one-quarter of their grandchild’s emissions, and so on. Thus, the study assumes parents are at least partially responsible for all climate emissions their family generates, leading to a massive overcalculation of a child’s “carbon footprint.”

Second, the authors also assumed that carbon emissions would never decrease over time – speaking to a greater fatalism about the climate movement generally. Both of these assumptions led the authors to paint a dire portrait of the future.

NYU business professor Scott Galloway has offered an opposing view. He asserts that we will never “shrink” our way out of the challenges we face. Instead, the only way to overcome our global challenges is by having more children and investing in innovation and education. He writes, “The greatest threat to humanity isn’t climate change or thermonuclear war, but nothingness.”

Indeed, the notion that entire countries must simply “give up” and reduce themselves into oblivion to serve the environment is not only wrong but defeatist – the result of telling multiple generations of young people that they’re already doomed.

Instead, cultural and political leaders might be wise to choose a more optimistic message – one that values human and parenthood life as a blessing and a joy, rather than an unbearable burden.

Andrew Abbott is the pen name of a writer and public affairs consultant with over a decade of experience in DC at the intersection of politics and culture.

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1 month ago

Quite frankly I’m okay if people with these crazy fears and notions don’t procreate. We definitely need less of them, and they would certainly push their fears onto any children they would have. My college major was Geology so none of this ever made sense to me anyway. And while doing a trivia test this morning I came upon this little gem of knowledge which didn’t surprise me at all. The question was concerning what would happen if all the glaciers melted at once. The part after “every coastal city on the planet” is the part the global climate change pushers avoid mentioning. As well as all the times this has happened before there were no people on earth to cause it. The earth will do what the earth will do with or without us.

“There is still some uncertainty about the full volume of glaciers and ice caps on Earth, but if all of them were to melt, the global sea level would rise approximately 230 feet (or 70 meters), flooding every coastal city on the planet. And this has already happened before, geological records of temperature and sea level indicate that during past warm periods over the last several millions of years, the global sea level was higher than it is today.”

Source: USGS

2 months ago

I think we should just let the AOC’s of the world think having children is immoral. That way, there will be fewer people like her populating the earth in the future.

2 months ago

Awesome! Idiots that shouldn’t have children to begin with, don’t want to have children! That is a huge win-win!

2 months ago

Personally I’m happy if the woke don’t reproduce.

A Voter
2 months ago

Everything liberals, socialists, communists, progressives et al do is for one purpose and one purpose only. Complete and total control. The means with which they intend to reach the end is through a culling of the herd. The smaller the herd the easier it is to control. Corona virus was not by accident, it was on purpose. The likes of Al Gore, Biden, Bill Gates and the rest disgust me to no end.

Slick Rick
2 months ago

I think couples should think hard about bringing a baby into this world as well but for a different reason. It is because of the fear of what it will be like for them growing up in a leftist, socialist, anti God world. And it is headed in that direction at a much faster pace than just a few years ago.

David Millikan
2 months ago

Pure speculation by Federal Reserve Bank.
Anybody that believes Global Warming LIE and that having children is morally wrong and having children would hurt the planet is just plain stupid.
If they believe such nonsense then why were they born since they are hurting the planet themselves?
Total hypocrites.

2 months ago

The right number of kids for me is big, fat zero. I avoid responsibilities as much as I can and use my time arguing with people on the Internet. I call that a win!

2 months ago

You might.

2 months ago

Everything in this article is just speculation based on data that cannot be truly proven by anyone. The data is just interpretation of what people believe it says.

2 months ago

What’s this? More Porn-Fear? God created His world, not to be moved. It’s the humans who think they are gods and mess with the atmosphere with chemicals.

2 months ago

Why do you let this be posted?

David Millikan
2 months ago
Reply to  Smike

AMAC needs to block this kind of garbage since it is an Advertisement and NOT an opinion.

David Campbell
2 months ago

Natural selection will remove this idiocy from the earth. I am perfectly fine with climate activists not breeding. And leftists in general. And…well, you get the idea.

2 months ago

The climate has been changing since God created the earth and it will keep changing until he ends it….and I don’t think that’s too far off.

2 months ago
Reply to  Granny26

So very true. I’ve said the same thing for many many years. Much of North America was once covered with glaciers. What happened to the glaciers? The climate changed!

Vietvet 6768
2 months ago

Climate change really, I learn the planet earth will shift on its axis and this happen climate will change world wide,

2 months ago
Reply to  Vietvet 6768

Last axis shift was in 2011 because of the earthquakes off Japan and New Zealand.

2 months ago

I suggest we all stop listening to these “climate” idiots…. I plan to do what I do until I see all of them, including algore and aoc, stop personally emitting CO2 and methane. Then I will admit they are serious…. not correct, just serious.

Man of Steel
2 months ago
Reply to  RC100

Hang on!! Water vapor is more of a green house gas than CO2 and is more prevalent. Ever notice that the low temperature on a cloudy day is warmer than the low on the previous sunny day?

David Millikan
2 months ago
Reply to  RC100

Co2 is what trees and plants breathe to make oxygen. Even the ocean needs Co2 for the Algae to produce oxygen.
Basic Science 101 which everybody should have been taught in school like I was.
Forgot, the Dept. of DUHmacation (education) quit teaching REAL Science 45 years ago.

2 months ago

Less people makes it easier for those who want to control others to do so! This is all Marxist and another evil perpetrated by the left! God created everything so we should be more concerned about Him and NOT worship the creature but the creator! He told Adam to tend His garden, let’s tend the garden and let God worry about the big picture – that’s His area!!! I put my trust in HIM!

2 months ago
Reply to  Carol

God also tells us to go forth and multiply. I think he knows more than all of us put together

2 months ago

The liberal crystal ball at work again, you can fold every other crazy oil and water ideas into climate change,

anna hubert
2 months ago

Leave it to the “experts” they know the best They all should be the fortune tellers at the county fairs

Casey C Matt
2 months ago

How can the future population of the United States be estimated when so much of south and central America is invading the country? And if the “natives” aren’t procreating the interlopers are sure known to do so.
I dunno about that “rapid decline” forcast……but its an easy guess when the readers will all be dead by the end of the century or in such a state of age related decline that they just as well should be.

Ben Franklin
2 months ago
Reply to  Casey C Matt

I don’t know about you, but I plan to be celebrating my 145th birthday in the year 2100. (And, of course, my wife is planning on outliving me!)

2 months ago

2100? Who actually believes we will be here then? Hopefully, Christ will soon take us in the Rapture and we won’t have to deal with all the Globalists.

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