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After November

AMAC Exclusive – By Barry Casselman

Trump

It is mostly guesswork to speculate about U.S. politics past November 2022, but it would seem that both major political parties will face a showdown crisis between their own internal factions as they prepare to contest the 2024 presidential election.

The results of the 2022 national midterm elections, already shaping up to be an epic electoral event, will provide the impetus for those internal confrontations. If Republicans gain control of both houses of Congress, the struggle will be about Donald Trump more than ideology — as the battle for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination goes into full swing. As Michael Barone put it so aptly, the party is Trumpist, but not necessarily Trump’s.

The internal struggle for the Democrats will likely be much more complicated. If the party loses control of Congress, as now seems quite possible, much of the blame will be placed on President Joe Biden and his so far feckless administration. If he does not then voluntarily retire (a historically rare event), he would almost certainly be challenged from both his left and right — much as President Harry Truman was in 1948. (Former Vice President Henry Wallace challenged Truman on the left, and South Carolina U.S. Senator Strom Thurmond on the right. Truman defeated Republican Thomas Dewey in spite of this.) Joe Biden, however, has not the energy, charisma or grassroots appeal of a Harry Truman to overcome serious internal opposition. His current approval ratings, already down to the mid-to-upper 30s (as are the poll numbers of his vice president, Kamala Harris) would likely mean new names on the 2024 ticket.

With a successful 2022 midterm providing momentum, and a very large “bench” of successful GOP governors, senators, and recent former office holders and cabinet members, the Republican Party, barring the unforeseen, would head for November 2024 as heavy favorites, but first the GOP has to secure a successful mid-term result — not yet a certainty with five months to go.

The Democratic “bench,” as many have observed, consists mainly of older, more radical figures like Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, and a few younger figures such as Pete Buttigieg and Gavin Newsom, but none so far who seem likely able to replace Joe Biden only two years from now. Any new Democratic figure who wins a governorship in a GOP wave in 2022 might become a contender.

The GOP presidential wannabes include Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, former South Carolina Governor and U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, former U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, Arkansas Senator Tom Cotton, former Vice President Mike Pence, South Carolina Senator Tim Scott, Florida Senator Marco Rubio, Texas Senator Ted Cruz, and Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin — and more. But for now, Donald Trump is the presumptive favorite if he decides to run.

Mr. Trump is currently participating in the 2022 midterm elections by endorsing and campaigning for gubernatorial and U.S. House and Senate candidates in several states — most of whom have been Trump supporters in the past. He has taken particular aim at his past critics in the party. So far, most of his endorsees have won, but some of his targets have won despite his opposition to them. The net effect of this strategy will be clearer in November.

Economic conditions and domestic crises will, as they almost always are, be critical in the 2024 election cycle, and will enable voters to make their choices from the likely large number of candidates. Candidates with experience and bold ideas on the critical issues might have some advantage if there are very many candidates in the field, as there were in both parties in 2016.

Public attitudes and any new voter priorities resulting from the recent pandemic, the war in Ukraine, the U.S. border crisis, and a potential summer economic recession should not be ignored nor glossed over.

The 2024 presidential race is going to begin early, and it is likely to be an epic, noisy, and transformative contest.


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Rich
2 months ago

If the republicans win big in November, look for the socialist democrats to double down on the lies and deceit, even election fraud. Unfortunately they won’t go away for good. Their strategists will come up with a new set of ways to destroy anything or anyone that is good for America. They have to convince the weak minded that good is bad and bad is good.

johnh
2 months ago

Watching Jeopardy last night & one question who was US hero (pilot) shot down in 1966 Viet Nam war. The answer was John McCain. I still resent Trump saying that McCain was no hero as heroes do not get captured. My worst memory of this is that Donald Trump would neve apologize or back off this statement during his entire term. Glad to see that Jeopardy recognizes John McCain as an American Hero.

Centurion
2 months ago
Reply to  johnh

Trump is right. McCain was NO hero. His fellow POW’s called him ‘songbird’. There’s a reason for that. Rather than me explaining why and you calling me a liar, I demand you do your own research about what McCain did as a POW.

Bruce
2 months ago
Reply to  Centurion

And he ruined a good airplane. A4 Skyhawk . . .

Frank
2 months ago
Reply to  johnh

Have some bad news for you johnh and that is a lot of Vietnam Vets do not look favorably on mccain. In fact, they call him the John Kerry of the republican party. They said he was a piss poor pilot and the only reason he was a pilot is because of his father. He used his military service for the sole purpose of getting into the field of politics and he ended his political career as a gutless traitor stabbing Trump in the back. All Trump did in 4 years was bring back America’s prosperity and proved just how corrupt DC’s liberal democrats and rhino republicans truly are. Only have to see where our country is after only a year and a half after the democrats Coup and rigged election. McCain was nothing more than a weak rhino which he proved when he ran against Obama.

johnh
2 months ago

Donald Trump & Ted Cruz are two of potential Republican candidates for POTUS. They both spoke at the NRA convention this week . & it will prove interesting how this plays out with the rest of voters at election time. My opinion, timing was not right time to speak or attend convention. The two parties must negotiate & pass some bill that stops the assault rifle attacks in America. Why are the two parties so stubborn & unwilling to do what is best for all American citizens.

Centurion
2 months ago
Reply to  johnh

The so-called ‘assault rifle’ is not the problem. Contrary to his fraudulency Xao Bai-Din’s opinion the 2nd Amendment is absolute and clear. The problem is demon-communist-cRATS who dance on the dead bodies of children pontificating gun bans. If everyone was armed, and I do mean everyone, any likely shooter will think several times before going on a shooting spree. Declaring schools as gun free zones only tells killers they will have lots and lots of time to commit their carnage.

Frank
2 months ago
Reply to  johnh

These assaults are happening because the liberal democrats created this atmosphere of mass shootings, murder and a high crime rate. It’s the democrats that have all but abolished executions because they say that they are Inhumane. Like willfully murdering innocent victims isn’t, Funny how the democrats are fighting like hell to protect the murdering of babies through abortion but insist executions are Inhumane. It’s the democrats and George Soros that turned BLM and Antifa lose on communities to burn down businesses and homes of innocent people including their own all in the name of a lifer criminal and drug addict name Floyd who by the way the night of his death bought items from a store with counterfeit money and got caught. The store owner asked him to return the goods and he walked out with them which is how the police got involved. The criminals get their guns illegally from the black market, yet you do not hear the democrats address the illegal black market selling of guns nor do they attempt to shut it down. Same on the democrats open border where again illegal weapons are crossing and ending up in the hands of criminals. When you see videos of gangs in democrat-controlled states, they have assault weapons strapped to their hips like handguns and they sure didn’t buy them legally. Even BLM and Antifa have photo shoots posing with assault weapons and again they didn’t get them legally. No, No it’s not the gun. It’s the liberal democrat’s agenda to gun control that has intentionally created this atmosphere. One more thing and that is the democrats flooding of Liberal Judges at all levels of court was done to weaken our laws which they have succeeded in doing. Go back to executions for murders and toughen the laws already on the books and this will change for the better. The liberal democrats created this.

RichardR
2 months ago
Reply to  Frank

When 911 attack happened, airplanes were not outlawed, cockpits were secured. Secure the schools and other soft targets. Agree with Frank on his explanation on guns. Enforce the laws on the books and punish the law breakers.

Betty Davis
2 months ago
Reply to  johnh

Maybe we should look at banning vehicles. More children die in vehicular crashes than by gunfire. Look up the statistics.

Rich
2 months ago
Reply to  Betty Davis

The hypocrisy of the left and the news “media” that refuses to see the facts. Crazy.

Frank
2 months ago

As for the midterm elections the rig has already started in the form of, I believe was the NY Times article that stated the midterms will not be the disaster for the democrats everyone thinks. The ONLY way they can make that statement is in the form of a 2020 Rigged Election repeat because the democrats are devastating America. Another clue is the article I read that stated Biden is flooding the lower courts with liberal judges to make it harder for the Republicans to fight their election fraud in court. With the rhino republicans like Romney and Cheney, to mention a few of many supporting the liberals’ agendas I have no confidence these midterms will be on the up and up and we are going to get the shaft. God help us please.

Frank
2 months ago

I appreciate everything President Trump has done and is doing but I cannot vote for someone running for President at the age of 80. It’s time for Trump to sit down and consider mostly the downside of doing so and reconsider while being there mostly as an advisor to throw in his opinions on running the economy. I’m still hoping DeSantis or Scott put their names in the primary with a possible 2024 ticket of DeSantis-Scott or Scott-DeSantis. Please NO Liberal supporting Rhinos allowed to run for the republican nomination because Traitors are no longer allowed. To those that disagree you only have to look at what todays 70 and over House and Senate demented AHoles are doing to our country as well as the current sitting Puppet. Regardless of who it is I have noticed 70 as the beginning of a change in mental stability.

Willy
2 months ago
Reply to  Frank

IMHO: I wouldn’t care if Trump was 90, if he is still mentally sound and has the drive he will be a great president. He will make America great again! At least he is FOR the USA, not trying to flush us down the tube into the political swamp sewage. We do need to fire the US Corporation however, and get back to being The USA Unincorporated under our original Constitution; which would take a serious flushing of the Executive, Legislative, and Judicial Branches to root out all the traitorous RINOs and DINOs of Klaus Schwab and his Great Reset Socialist pipe-dream.

Rich
2 months ago
Reply to  Willy

I love President trump and would vote for him again, however, he has a lot of perceived “baggage” that the socialist democrats will continue to focus on because they have nothing to show for their efforts, as they try to discredit his presidency to speak to the weak minded that continue to support the democrats. I think that if he will back a strong candidate with like ideals and economic knowledge, that candidate will win. One thing is certain, the 2022 and 2024 elections are the republicans to win, or lose.

Marc Ziegler
2 months ago

God help us if the Republican Party does not win both houses in November and Trump wins in 2024! America cannot stand another two or four years of Democratic rule. The U.S. is already the laughingstock of the world, and we really want more of the same. 22 and 24 cannot come fast enough.

Rich
2 months ago
Reply to  Marc Ziegler

The globalists know that America is the one nation that stands in the way of the one world government. If the globalists can only keep the socialist/democrats in power a while longer, and eliminate the Constitution, America will no longer be a force to recon with.

Nick Murphy
2 months ago

There will be no impeachment. The Democrats will do their usual cheat and lie to win. The feckless media will cover for them and the courts will ignore it. You have not been around the block enough times if you don’t realize that’s what’s going to happen, and I guarantee you it will

George R Rivera Jr
2 months ago

The true struggle will not be between hard Left Socialists and Communists in our government, but between RINO entrenched swap creatures and MAGA. When the New Right attains majority seats in both the House and Senate, three Swampers will be sent packing – Pelosi, McCarthy, and McConnell. Immediately following will be an impeachment never seen before, where wholesale elimination will occur. One does not need to be a Prophet to see the writing on the wall, which is why the Swamp will resort to ANYTHING to survive.

mark sligh sr
2 months ago

Biden got on tv tonight mumbling as usual , calling for a ban on ar style rifle’s and high capacity mags, and saying we need to do something we cant let the people down again ,, WHAT IN THE HELL ARE THE DEMOCRATS DOING TO US EVERY DAMN DAY SINCE– BIDUM– TOOK OFFICE ,,, just look at your grocery bill, gas for your veh. , your stocks if you have any , but taking our guns will solve the problem and if that dosent happen then the republicans are at fault again as usual with the dems. ,,,,GET OUT AND VOTE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE ,,

C M
2 months ago

Regarding Truman’s win in 1948 despite “internal opposition.” If there is any “internal opposition” I predict it would be similar to Carter’s outcome in 1980. Carter would probably have lost without Kenndy’s opposition. However, Kennedy’s presence in the primaries reminded people of Carter’s liabilities and weaknesses.

Sean Richman
2 months ago

I hope that President Trump wins,but I will vote ALL Republican.If the democRATS win,our country is done,we are very close to that now.

Brent
2 months ago

If the dems didn’t steal elections, they would never win.

Constance
2 months ago
Reply to  Brent

And if the Republicans would get a backbone and fight the obviously fraudulent and corrupt elections, the dems would never win and the Republicans would get the country back.

MOCountry
2 months ago
Reply to  Constance

They would need to have the media’s backing to do it, and we all know how they react when there is evidence of dimocrap illegal activity!!

Philip Hammersley
2 months ago

RINO Raffy in GA won his nomination because DIMMs crossed over to vote for him. That ought to tell us something! All states should have CLOSED primaries; we don’t need DIMMs pushing RINOs on us.

Westhus
2 months ago

Pence, Nikki Haley & Tim Scott are the weakest on that list. Other than DeSantis and Pompeio, not sure any of the others are the fighters we need. In any case, first let’s win this November and take back the House & Senate, but in parallel we need to continue to work toward 2024. Neither election cycle should be thought of as a finish line, but only milestones in the grand journey to rid the Republic of the internal Commie threat. We cannot afford any more terms of Communist control of the legislative and executive branches of government.

Christian
2 months ago
Reply to  Westhus

NO VOTING MACHINES

Patty Quackenbush
2 months ago
Reply to  Christian

I would add, identification proving you are a United States citizen.

johnh
2 months ago
Reply to  Westhus

I would not sell Nikki short, she has a lot of experience & spunk. Do you remember when Trump said she was mistaken & she fired right back ” I do not get mixed up”. And no one else would challenge this.

Jeff Noncent
2 months ago

The Mid term election is to me a toss up because the Democratic party got away from the 2020 election Fraud if they can get away with this one they will do it again and it’s not looking for them either

Patty Quackenbush
2 months ago
Reply to  Jeff Noncent

You are so right. Don’t think they aren’t going to do the same in 2022. I heard there will be another pandemic and the election will be postponed or worse, only mail in or voting online. Gee, that sounds fair. lol not

Davidme
2 months ago

O’Biden is our First Ever Brain Dead, Fraudulent and Criminal President!!!!! However, He was elected by Our Very First Skillfully Corrupted, Rigged Dominion Voting Machines and Fraudulent Paper Ballots to be the Deep Dark States Shill and Fall Guy President!!!!! The 2020 Presidential Election MUST be Overturned if Our America is to Survive!!!!! Further more, There Must be a Unified Initiative to Insure all Future Elections are Honest!!!! Our Right to Vote Must be Very Well Protected and Cherished!!!!
Wake Up America, We Are In Very, Very Serious, Grave and Dire Danger “From Within” by the Washington, DCeivers!!!!!

Robert
2 months ago
Reply to  Davidme

Never give up your 2A Constitutional Rights! If these conniving and candy ass tyrants ever disarm the law abiding public, they will act without restraint and with total impunity to kill people to gain complete, utterly corrupt, control. This is who the Democrats and Davos crowd (Hitleresque Krauts) are!

Patty Quackenbush
2 months ago
Reply to  Robert

They are trying to do that right now in Congress along with making DC a state. Welcome to Socialist, communist Marxist, America.

Patty Quackenbush
2 months ago
Reply to  Davidme

Three Supreme Court Justices wanted to look over the affidavits after the 2020 election but were told by traitor Roberts they needed four so they were shot down. Dumbocraps have gone too far and will NEVER allow a free and fair election. The Supreme Court needs to overturn it. They have a whole lot more proof than the few hundred affidavits they wanted to look at. Lindell brought 400000 affidavits to Georgia. I’d like to see them go thru them and then the cyber experts evidence of fraud by the Dominion machines in all 50 states and the Georgia run-off. I am screaming as loud as you for Americans to wake up. I live in KY and they have been drinking the kool aid for roughly 200 years. DEAF DUMB BLIND and you can’t change STUPID.

PapaGrouch
2 months ago
Reply to  Davidme

I disagree. Wilson was the first criminal president, followed by the likes of Johnson,Carter, Clinton, Obama…
Just my opinion as indicated by what the US has become…
Davidme, your observations are absolutely correct

J. Farley
2 months ago

I am a very strong President Trump supporter, but I am open to most anyone that is a strong Constitutionalist and believes in the rule of law and its being applied equally regardless of political party, age, or sex, or economic status and believes in a Christian God and is a Republican. Anyone that has shown they feel that the Constitution can be amended without a vote of the people need not apply. We are a sovereign nation, and any new President must do everything to see that America comes first and we build America with American money before we help other nations.
God Save America

Patty Quackenbush
2 months ago
Reply to  J. Farley

Most of Congress needs to go as it has been years since any fought for our Constitution or America or her people. No one should be in our government that doesn’t believe in our Constitutional Republic and most of Congress, Dumbocraps and Rhinos don’t.

Kwolf18
2 months ago
Reply to  J. Farley

Trump had good policies and got a lot done in a short time, but I think maybe he should only have an advisory role, there are many people that are on the fence that hate him, and we’ll need those republican votes. I know I can’t stand listening to him or his mean bully tweets.

J. Farley
2 months ago
Reply to  Kwolf18

I am for ABDR’s— that’s — Anybody But Democrats and Rino’s!

Bill on the Hill
2 months ago
Reply to  J. Farley

Clearly stated J. Farley, I agree with your statement…Whether or not Trump runs in 2024 is almost moot at this point. I have stated from the very beginning, don’t expect Trump to enter this arena again. There are plenty of patriotic Republicans that can handle the position of POTUS in 2024…
The things President Trump is doing right now is precisely what needs to be done to get the true patriotic Republicans running for different offices around the nation under the America First & MAGA banners. The vast majority of Trump’s endorsements have gone on to win their respective campaigns with some notable exceptions, Perdue of Georgia is a gleaming example of this, he was weak running for the Senate & he was weak running for gov. of Georgia…Trump doesn’t always get it right as Perdue is a perfect example of this, BOTH times, however most of the time Trumps has proven to get it right…I think both Perdue & Dr. Oz are people that Trump could have done a better job of endorsing, however sometimes the playing field can be limited, especially in both PA & GA…
Bill… :~)

J. Farley
2 months ago

I agree!!!!

JayA
2 months ago

Both parties are rotten as last month’s meat balls and twice as corrupt. A third party is needed to put an end to bribes, pay off and special interest money polluting our elections, Throw in term limits also!

Honey
2 months ago
Reply to  JayA

You cannot talk about parties You must talk about ideas and individuals. We are getting elected on the Republican side more and more Club for Growth people and we are growing the Freedom Caucus. McCarthy and McConnell are weak as Republican leaders and if we can get enough new conservatives into Congress we can vote those two out. Then we will be better off as a country. The Democrat party as it is now constituted is worthless and worse – destructive to our freedom.
We must vote them out and get new Democrats in who love America.

Patty Quackenbush
2 months ago
Reply to  Honey

Good luck. dumbocraps have been dirty for over 200 years. McConnell has been in office for over 38 years and is married to the CCP

johnh
2 months ago

What is CCP ?

PapaGrouch
2 months ago
Reply to  johnh

Chinese Communist Party
“ChiComs”

johnh
2 months ago
Reply to  JayA

We need a leader like Ronald Reagan to unite Americans again. Both parties have some good people , but the party slaps their hands every time they do not vote straight party line. I would like to thank Joe Manchin for standing up & voting against another huge stimulus package. The inflation today is fueled by stimulus money & it would be even worse if Manchin did not step up to the plate.

James Federico
2 months ago

Just once I would like to see candidates run on merit instead of mudslinging then we would really be able to choose the best one no matter which party

Philip Hammersley
2 months ago
Reply to  James Federico

That can only happen if we had a REAL media. Not 95% pushing a leftist agenda and silencing the truth!

Patty Quackenbush
2 months ago

We no longer have freedom of the press or media. They are all Marxists, communists and socialists for you not them.

Richard Carr
2 months ago

The only way Democrat’s can really threaten President trump is to help field a Republican candidate who defecting Democrats would find more palatable than Trump. Don’t discount the ability of the Democrats to stay loyal in the face of adversity. They have proven their ability to Stab anyone in the back to get their own way. My Opinion.

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